Membership Options

Starting from

$ 287.00

Monthly
  • Big Priced Winners

  • Fair Odds Recording

  • Profit Guarantee

  • Outstanding profitability

JOHN'S ANALYTICS

This money making machine has made over 430 units profit ($43,000) at over 13% POT in just 2.5 years.

Bets are produced from modelling of John's database by a PhD Data Scientist with results based on the third best fixed price of just six bookies,

The database finds horses significantly mispriced by the market to derive profits. John advises members to simply place bets at the best possible price when bets are sent. As the vast majority of winners firm in the market, this truly is a simple to follow bet and forget service.

Big winners found include:

Long Knife $67

Strolling Vagabond $51

Flirtalicious $34

Crossbearer $31

Stella Anne $31

Starbound $31

Watch The Cat $31

Our Lucky Lucy $27

Preferred Route $24

Dutch Gal $24

Red Dazzle $23

 

As a member of JOHN'S ANALYTICS you receive the following:

  • Quality tips you can back with confidence from a full-time professional punter John Lawson
  • John self-built database has been refined and fine-tuned over a number of years and rates every horse based on a complex myriad of variables
  • Selections including the recommended staking are sent to you by e-mail and through accessing your exclusive members area
  • Outstanding customer support - we're always happy to help, anytime!
  • We are so confident in our package it comes with out Profit Guarantee for all quarterly or annual memberships (if you don't profit over the period of your subscription, we will double the period of your package for FREE! For example, if you have a quarterly package, and if it doesn't make a profit through our official results, you will get an additional quarterly package for FREE! Given members subscribe at different times, simply advise us within 72 hours of being billed of this losing period to be eligible for the refund)
  • Using a consistent, transparent and member voted Fair Odds Recording Methodology: every bet is simply recorded at the 3rd best fixed price available at the time the bet is sent, chosen from only a small selected number of bookies who actually take a bet).
Starting from

$ 297.00

Monthly
  • Unbelievable profits

  • Incredible strike rate

  • Remarkable consistency

GREYHOUND GENIUS

Highly profitable Greyhound Tips that have produced over $100,000 profit in 4 years, at an incredible 13% POT & 1000% ROI. You'll be advised what time the bets will be sent each afternoon, making this a simple bet & forget service - simply back the dog advised at the best fixed price you can obtain when the e-mail is sent.

Starting from

$ 287.00

Monthly
  • Outstanding long-term profits

  • Big priced winners

  • Bets sent after 9am

  • Fair odds recording

  • Profit Guarantee

DEAN'S TIPS

Dean's Tips members receive the following:

  • Proven, high quality tips you can back with confidence from professional form analyst Dean Evans
  • Australia's most profitable tips service in history
  • Dean devises his selections through analysis of a variety of data sources and databases including R2W Axis, using a combination of advanced form, speed, class, weight, rating, video and sectional analysis. He also uses advanced statistical data and knowledge, combined with his unique 'isolation' concept to provide highly profitable tips to members
  • Selections, including staking and betting advice are sent to you via e-mail and by accessing your exclusive members area
  • Outstanding customer support - expect a quick and comprehensive response to any queries
  • This service comes with our Profit Guarantee for all quarterly or annual memberships. (We are so confident in our package that if you don't profit over the period of your subscription for any quarterly or annual package, we will double the period of your package for FREE! For example take a quarterly package, and if it doesn't make a profit through our official results, you will get an additional quarterly package for FREE! Given members subscribe at different times, simply advise us within 72 hours of being billed of this losing period to be eligible for the refund)
  • Using a fair, consistent, transparent and member-voted odds recording methodology: the highest of the 3rd best fixed price available at the time the bet is sent, chosen from only a small selected number of bookies who actually take a bet, or mid tote.
  • Outstanding long-term profits. Dean's Tips have a significant edge over the marketplace, and the service has generated over 760 units profit at 8% POT over the past 7 years (a total of $76,000+ profit at $100 a unit). Big priced winners have included:
  • Carn $149, Stage Girl $126, Emmadee $101 ($560 Betfair), Mighty Boss $101, Kaiser Franz $71, Calvo $57, Aliferous $57, Shazee Lee $56, Harlem $53, Sacred Falls $51, Sea Lord $51, Mourinho $43, Tully Ho $42, Centre Divider $42, Forseen $41, Cameo $41, Gala Affair $41, Gold Fields $41, Havana Cigar $41, Runaway $41, Thermal Current $41, Harlem $41, Just Two Vees $40 and plenty more.
Starting from

$ 267.00

Monthly
  • Australia's most profitable horse racing service in history

  • Profit Guarantee

  • Fair odds recording

  • Big priced winners

  • Bets sent after 9am

  • Outstanding long term profits

TRIAL SPY

Trial Spy has amassed over $70,000 profit since inception, making it the second most profitable horse racing tipping package ever in Australia.

Selections are based solely on the thorough and advanced analysis and review of Barrier Trials & Jumpouts. Accurate trial sectionals & performance ratings against par times are obtained from a R2W Axis Database, and then calibrated and reassessed based on visual analysis of the trial.

Testament to its longevity & success, the Trial Spy service commands such a high membership renewal rate that new memberships are only offered intermittently.

The service has generated over 160u ($16,000) profit over the past 18 months.

The Trial Spy service covers racing every day and across every track in Australia. Bets are wherever and whenever there’s value to be found from identified runners. But it's certainly not a scattergun approach - we don’t bet for the sake of it. Bets are selective, and only advised if and when there’s value available on the day. Tips include the selection, recommended stake (based on a 100u betting bank), and a comment on why the selection has been chosen for an investment. 

The package is a thoroughly comprehensive “everything done for you” tipping package. All you need to do is place the bets, enjoy the races, and reap the rewards.

Obviously, something so profitable can shape the market. To protect prices and hence member dividends, we strictly cap membership numbers. This ensures all Trial Spy members have a good chance to get set at the prices advised.

Q&A with Dean: https://www.winningedgeinvestments.com/posts/trial-spy-qanda/

Member Survey & Testimonials: https://www.winningedgeinvestments.com/posts/trial-spy-testimonials/

Starting from

$ 287.00

Monthly
  • Outstanding Profits and POT%

  • Big priced winners and massive edge over the bookies

  • Profit Guarantee

  • Analyst taught at Humbleton (provides analysis for the biggest betting syndicate in the world)

FEATURE FUTURES

This service is currently closed to new members. Our membership cap is full to protect dividends for existing members. Please go to the Contact Us section to request being placed on the waiting list.

At Winning Edge Investments, we have countless analysts contacting us on a regular basis to review their services and determine whether we would be interested in offering their services to our members.

We are very thorough in these reviews, and the reality is the vast majority of the time the results of these cumbersome and detailed reviews lead to us to not offering the service to our members.

Our reviews often take up to 1 year. Unlike most tipping companies, we do not make money from losses through bookmaker affiliates, and we offer a profit guarantee, so losing services are of no benefit to us. Our aim and only incentive is for members to have a highly profitable portfolio of services that works in their favour for long term success.

Our selective and exhaustive approach is why we only released one new racing membership option in all of 2019.

However in preparation for 2020, during 2019 our Member Success Team reviewed and audited a service whose results were absolutely outstanding.

These tips were not just sent to us via e-mail, they were posted publicly on a blog throughout 2019, which was referenced via a social media account with over 2,000 followers.

Very different to the norm, this service focuses entirely on Futures Betting. For those unfamiliar, Futures Betting is betting on major races (usually G1, G2, G3 or LR races) before the final field is announced. There is some risk to Futures Betting, as it is possible to back a horse that doesn't even start in the race, and your bet is not refunded. However the odds you can secure in these early futures markets are oftentimes (for the astute), far greater than the odds the horse starts on the day.

Over the 2019 review period, the results of this service were, simply put, incredible.

301.9 units profit at 64.3% POT in 2019.

This did not come from a couple of lucky wins either, but 25 individual Futures Bet winners over the year, at an average win price of $9.59.

The average units invested on each bet were 1.68, and the average units invested per month was 52.

The results were based on the prices from just a handful of main bookies, ignoring the 20+ other corporate bookie options.

To be even more fair we also included losing bets in pre-nomination markets where the horse was never nominated, despite the fact that a large number of bookies actually refund the bets if the horse isn't nominated for the race (and the tips were sent assuming that was the case).

These two factors reduced the results to what we considered fair and achievable.

Big Feature Futures winners nailed in 2019 alone included:

$26 Dixie Blossoms (Coolmore Classic), $26 Yes Yes Yes (The Everest), $26 Mer De Glace (Caulfield Cup), $15 Lys Gracieux (Cox Plate), $13 Super Seth (Caulfield Guineas), $13 Fierce Impact (Toorak Handicap), $11 Santa Ana Lane (TJ Smith), $11 Sunlight (Newmarket Handicap)

Quite simply, this analyst absolutely nailed Futures Betting in 2019 (with all tips available in the public realm), he has been doing this successfully for 10 years, and we are now offering this service to strictly limited members.

This service will be subject to a strictly limited membership cap.

The service comes with a profit guarantee, and if you join and find after Friday's Futures bets are sent out that the service is not for you for any reason, we are happy to provide you with your full payment as credits to switch to another service, or extend one of your existing services.

Members of multiple services will also receive Loyalty Bonus Credits for joining this service (up to 30% for some members).

You don't want to miss out on this one, because once the doors are shut that's it.

 

Below is a Q&A with our Future Features Expert.

 

Tell us a bit about yourself and your background.

My name is Peter Jones. I was trained professionally at Humbleton (the company that provides analysis for the biggest betting syndicate in the world), and worked as a video analyst. I also worked as a form analyst for an Australian wide company that provides selections in TAB outlets.

How did you turn into a successful long-term horse racing punter?

I combined my previous knowledge with continued observations from video analysis and researching on value and staking. Value is not (as some commentators still insist) simply the bigger the price, the greater the value.

How did you get into futures betting? Have you always been a successful punter on futures?

I started with backing Pear Tart @ $71 and then $31 a couple of weeks later to win the G1 Tatts Tiara. The Caulfield Cup as an example has been a good race to me. I backed Fawkner at $101, also Dunaden at $61 plus the Cups double with Green Moon at $1,586/1. In recent times even Best Solution at $41 and Mer De Glace at $26 have been great results. Not only did I back these myself but also tipped these winners on social media and/or a popular racing forum. The best price I obtained about a competitive single runner that didn’t win was 250/1 on Ajeeb in the Australian Guineas who started $6 and was mentioned on social media for the astute investment by the bookmaker at the time.

Over the past year I have been posting and recording results from all of my futures bets on my blog, with Winning Edge Investments reviewing and auditing these.

How do you identify your bets? What are the key areas or statistics you analyse? Where do you find the biggest edges? Why do you believe you do so well on futures betting? What else do you look at when assessing the right horses and races and determining bets? 

Video review and sectional analysis. You have to put the time in. Someone who works 9-5 likely doesn’t have the time to do all the video analysis and source information from many entities. I focus on what the trainer’s intentions are with the horse. Of course, there’s the usual form analysis also. Is the horse suited to the track? Will they be in peak fitness on race day? I take into consideration how long until the race and the things that may occur, but if it’s value it doesn’t matter if the race is two weeks or two months away.

How will your service work? What types of bets will you send, how many bets per week, unit bank recommended, estimate of weekly units spent? 

Predominantly win and sometimes each way futures bets. Obviously in the lead-up to the Spring and Autumn carnivals more bets will be sent. I would expect approximately a 50 unit investment per month for a spring or an autumn. Much less for Summer and Winter.

What time will bets normally be released? 

Bets will be sent when the opportunities present themselves. A warning e-mail will be sent before any bet is sent, to ensure you have time to get yourself set with accounts ready to place the bets.

On rare occasions, some bets may not be feature/futures bets. That is, some bets may be pre-post all-in (markets usually go up Monday before the Saturday race) or occasionally final field bets. This usually occurs when a horse has been favourite all through betting and I still want to have it on my side. We may have obtained great value in other runners in the race and to smooth bankroll fluctuations I wish to be with a runner that is in the market. Another reason may be that a runner may be a late nomination.

What information do you provide with each bet? 

Race & selection, bet type, odds available with which bookmakers, units to invest and minimum odds to bet down to. Sometimes certain bookmakers such as TAB, Sportsbet, Ladbrokes, Tabtouch, Bet365 or Beteasy may have pre-nomination markets where you get your money back if the horse is not nominated. If applicable, we will advise to only bet with them or a bookie that has this displayed.

What are your previous results? What is a realistic Profit on Turnover percentage?  

For the previous few years POT for the major spring and autumn Sydney and Melbourne carnivals (combined) has usually been between 30% - 80% for each carnival. Will we get more Charlie Appleby or Japanese runners underestimated in the future?

Which bookmaker accounts are the best to use? What odds comparison sites are the best to use?

It is best to have accounts with as many bookies as possible. If one of the minor bookies hasn’t stopped you from betting future/features you should try to utilise them first. Please only use TAB as your last resort as many books will only partial bet, or outright reject a bet if their price is above the TAB’s.

How will the odds be recorded?

We will record at the fixed price available with the 3rd highest priced bookie, which removes any outlier prices only available with 1 or 2 bookies.

Do I bet straight away, or wait until close to the race start? 

Straight Away. Over the past year some winners have drifted for reasons unbeknown to myself such as Dixie Blossoms and Fierce Impact but they have still won. In general though the majority will firm.

Who does this service suit?

Anyone who likes to be on runners in the big races on better than current odds and has the control to steadily build their bank. If you are banned from futures betting with all bookies then it obviously won’t suit, but if some still let you bet on futures, or there are accounts you have yet to open, then it will certainly suit.

Are bets based on a 100 unit betting bank?

Each race is based on 100 unit bank but remember there will be multiple races open at one time. Sometimes on major races such as the Golden Slipper or Melbourne Cup there could be significant units invested by race start time. So whilst it is a 100 unit bank based on resulted races you may need more short term if there are a large number of open, unresulted races.

Any profit guarantee?

Yes for quarterly and annual memberships, based on completed races in the quarter/year.

Starting from

$ 250.00

Monthly
  • Proven consistent long term profits

  • Detailed comments explaining why the horse is recommended for investment

  • Fair Odds Recording

  • Profit Guarantee

BLACKBOOK BETS

Headed by Lachlan Mosley, this service has produced over 265 units profit since Jan 2016.

Lachlan develops his edge through a combination of video analysis and professional assessment of sectional times.

Watching countless hours of videos and live races, Lachlan documents his findings in each race to highlight runners to follow.

Using well-honed form analysis skills he identifies when those horses should be backed next, and when they should be left alone.

Lachlan now focuses predominantly on South Australian racing, and has made 73 units profit at 22% POT over the past 7 months.

Through the judicious use of each way betting, Lachlan reduces the potential drawdown during any unlucky periods, whilst maximising returns during the winning periods.

We’re so confident in this package it comes with our Profit Guarantee for all quarterly or annual memberships. If you don't profit over the period of your subscription, we will double the period of your package for FREE! For example, if you have quarterly package and if it doesn't make a profit through our official results, you’ll get an additional quarterly package for FREE! 

Uses a fair, consistent, transparent, easily achievable and member voted Odds Recording Methodology

Each bet will advise whether to bet 100%, 75%, 50%, 25% or 0% fixed. Where the current 3rd best fixed price is stated in the e-mail, the official price will be the 3rd best fixed price at the time of the e-mail for the percentage advised. The other portion of the bet will be recorded at Best Tote or Top Fluc.

Starting from

$ 267.00

Monthly
  • Profit Guarantee

  • Outstanding Profits

  • Place the same bets as a full-time professional punter on WA Racing

  • Full ratings sheet (plus comments)

  • Fair Odds Recording Policy

  • Taught by the best: Mark Read

  • Bets sent at standard time (1pm) every day

WA TIPS & RATINGS

We are enormously excited to have full-time professional punter Cameron O'Brien join the team providing his tips & full ratings for WA.

With his father responsible for the Victorian weight & class tables and ratings for Don Scott's classic betting bible 'The Winning Way', Cameron was bred to be a pro punter,

Successful punting runs in the family - made even more impressive with his relation to renowned form student and provider of our highly popular and successful NSW Tips & Ratings service, Mark Rhoden (their fathers are cousins). 

Cameron and Mark work closely together, sharing the same database, and betting on each other's ratings.

Not only does Cameron have a punting pedigree, he was also taught by some the best in the business.

Before going out on his own, he has worked for the likes of industry veterans Mark Read and Gerard Twomey (Iasbet).

As a result, his success story reaches to raise a family of five children, all from his punting profits – impressive!

Cameron can be described a “flat track bully”. He knows what works and has found his niche working the WA market with his ratings system. It’s a proven 'cash cow' and he knows the inner workings of the state like the back of his hand due to an isolated, steady and limited pool of horses, trainers, jockeys, and tracks that are virtually always dry.

It means Cameron has a distinct advantage. His accurate ratings can generate exceptional profits because he works on a stable environment with less variables and biases.

So that's exactly what Cameron does.

Listen to our interview with Cameron here, where he details his 12 year journey as a full- time professional punter: https://soundcloud.com/winningedgeinvestments/expert-qa-6-cameron-obrien

Starting from

$ 267.00

Monthly
  • Bets sent shortly after 9am

  • Proven and consistent long-term profits

  • Place the same bets as a full time professional NSW punter

  • Full ratings spreadsheet (plus comments)

  • Fair Odds Recording

  • Profit Guarantee

NSW TIPS & RATINGS

Mark Rhoden is a highly respected full time professional punter who focuses solely on NSW Metropolitan and Provincial racing.

  • Double the value: A true set and forget service with tips usually sent at 9am each NSW Metro or Provincial raceday to place as advised. Plus at no additional cost Mark's spreadsheet with full ratings for every runner plus comments to aid those betting throughout the day.
  • All bets are on NSW racing which means Minimum Bet Legislation applies. So those with banned or restricted accounts with bookmakers can still get set to win decent amounts with all bookies!
  • We are so confident in this service it comes with our Profit Guarantee for all quarterly or annual memberships (if you don't profit over the period of your subscription for any quarterly or annual package, we will double the period of your package for FREE! For example if you have a quarterly package, and if it doesn't make a profit through our official results, you will get your next quarterly package for FREE! Given members subscribe at different times, simply advise us within 72 hours of being billed of this losing period to be eligible for the refund)
  • Using a fair, consistent, transparent and member voted Odds Recording Methodology, Mark either advises to bet Top Fluc, BOB, or Fixed Odds (which are recorded at the advised 3rd best fixed price available at the time the bet is sent, chosen from only a small selected number of bookies who actually take a bet). Results are recorded and published daily on the website based exactly on the advice given
Starting from

$ 267.00

Monthly
  • 5 years of highly profitable results

  • Profit Guarantee

  • Fair Odds Recording Policy

  • Highly respected and revered form analyst

  • Renowned Bloodstock Judge (purchased multiple G1 winners including Mel Cup winner Protectionist)

  • Taught by the best: Rob Waterhouse

LUKE MURRELL'S TIPS

Since inception, Luke’s service has generated nearly $50,000 in profit, forging a reputation as one of racing's most highly respected form analysts. Luke learned his craft under the tutelage of one of the industry’s most respected racing identity, former bookmaker Rob Waterhouse for many years. He is also a much-lauded judge of horseflesh, having selected and bought multiple Group 1 winners for himself and his Australian Bloodstock clients, including Melbourne Cup winner Protectionist, and recent G1 winners Brave Smash, Tosen Stardom and Master Of Design. Note due to the higher staking & variability of this service, we recommend a 200 unit bank.

Starting from

$ 187.00

Monthly
  • NRL Model built by an engineer with a university educated mathematical background

  • $20,000 profit over the past 3 seasons at 196% ROI and 12% POT

  • Advised bets are exclusively on the Line market, so you can get a big bet on

  • Profit Guarantee

  • Amazing Value

  • Fair Odds Recording

NRL TIPS

Below is a Q&A with our new NRL Expert, David Barrett.

 

Tell us a bit about yourself and your background.

My name is David Barrett. I am an engineer with a university educated mathematical background, and a very keen watcher of sports. I am what most people would refer to as a numbers person. The main aspect that I’m drawn to and really enjoy is the mental challenge of building a successful model that proves to be highly profitable. I take a very analytical approach to what I do, and I perform a lot of research to ensure success. In terms of gambling, I have been a positive expected value bettor for three years now utilising this NRL model. I like to pursue a mathematical edge through statistics, backed up by logic on my bets, as opposed to betting off a gut feel or opinion.

How did you turn into a successful long-term punter?

After many years fooling around with basic modelling, a few years ago took the leap and purchased a lot of literature and devoted a lot of time to it. There has been a lot of learning on my part and I have relished every opportunity that I have had to grow myself. I’ve found that whilst something new may not entirely change a particular betting approach, it could change one small component enough that it could really revolutionise a model or system.

How did you get into NRL? Have you always been a successful punter on NRL? If not, how did you turn into a successful long-term punter on NRL?

I have always been a fan of the sport, I grew up playing footy for many years, but had to stop after many injuries. It is one of the major sporting markets in the southern hemisphere. I became successful with this particular model through applying some concepts that I had read about in papers and other research, and adapting them to how I thought they could be suitable in the NRL. After a few attempts and countless hours, I finally got to the very strong model I have now.  

How do you identify your bets? What are the key areas or statistics you analyse? Where do you find the biggest edges? 

I have a model that solely looks for value. Simply put, I look for games where I disagree with the line and try to take advantage of that. Over the past 3 years, results have consistently proven my modelling has been a better indicator than the market.

Why do you believe you do so well on NRL?

I use the game data as opposed to the final score to assess the true performance of each team in each game. As any avid sports watcher would know, in no way does the best team on the field always win. Often the impact of a lucky bounce of the ball, referees decisions, or 100 other factors can result in a team winning a match despite playing worse than their opposition. Using the game data rather than the final score to assess performance is effective  as there are a lot of indicators of team performance that the NRL “experts” are simply not talking about or considering as they are not aware of them. I come up with my own line for each game and compare that to the market line to find value. I find that I have quite a contrarian approach to betting, and in my opinion this works very well. I back a lot of underdogs as I feel that these are mispriced. The market overrates favourites and underestimates underdogs. Many who watch the NRL would iteratively know this to be true. Regularly the no hope team beats the hot favourite. A mixture of the salary cap, questionable refereeing quality, regular injuries and a number of other factors make the games a lot more variable than the market expects.

In terms of what information I use for my analysis, I use a wide range of offensive and defensive metrics and use an algorithm to determine accurate team ratings on the back of these numbers. I am of the opinion that the market needs to regress its ratings towards the mean (good teams are overrated and poorer teams are underrated). With these numbers I create a line that the model projects as the true line that should occur if the one particular game was to be played out over a thousand times. I bet on the line market within the NRL. I have trialled the head to head market, however I have found that there is more market inefficiency in the line markets. The edge that I quantify is the model’s projected line minus the market line and I bet that edge in units. 

What else do you look at when assessing matches and determining bets? 

Price is key. If the model doesn’t see any value, then I will not be betting, it is as simple as that. I strongly believe in not forcing bets. I love the quote “the best bet you make is the one that you never make “.

How will your service work? What types of bets will you send, how many bets per week, unit bank recommended, estimate of weekly units spent? 

I will send out the model’s selections every Tuesday. If there is a lot of market movement (such as the line moving sharply in our favour), then I may notify customers of arbitrage opportunities (e.g. middles bets), that can be very lucrative.

What time will bets normally be released? 

Midday Tuesday, after all of the major Australian bookmakers release their prices.

What information do you provide with each bet? 

With each bet I will provide my rated price/line, the best & second best prices available with Australian bookmakers (second best of Australian bookmakers will be recorded for official results), and recommended unit investment, everything required to place the correct bet.

What are your previous results? What is a realistic Profit on Turnover percentage?  

Previous results  of the model have netted on average 65 units profit per season at approximately 12% POT. The POT represents and aligns with the overall mathematical edge the model has over the market in my opinion. I have been very happy with my 12% over the last 3 years.

*Note Winning Edge Investments would like to point out that unlike our other services, the results stated between 2017-2019 are based on previous model output, not publicly verifiable results to paying members

Which bookmaker accounts are the best to use? What odds comparison sites are the best to use?

You can’t beat Topsport for value. TAB is a no brainer for whatever jurisdiction you are in to place a bet in person. The more options you have, the better.

Why sell your tips if it impacts the odds you secure with your own betting?

I bet almost exclusively with overseas bookmakers using Bitcoin. Hence I have no corporate bookmaker profile in Australia. The bets I place and where members will be betting means we won’t be competing with each other for prices, and won’t impact each other’s prices. We’ll all be able to get on at the same time at great prices as we’ll be betting in different jurisdictions with different bookies.

How will the odds be recorded?

The 2nd best price of Australian bookmakers only (excluding Betfair and all overseas bookmakers)

Do I bet straight away, or wait until close to the game start? 

I bet straight away. More often than not the line closes in the direction that I bet (beating the closing line value is clearly a positive indicator for the model).

Will I be able to get a decent bet on? 

The bets are on the line market, so yes, a decent sized bet is possible with a number of Australian bookmakers.

Are bets based on a 100 unit betting bank?

Yes, bets and staking are based upon a 100 unit betting bank. I take a different approach to betting that challenges the norms but is still realistic and protects against variance. I will be making a write-up available for members on this. 

Any profit guarantee?

Yes a profit guarantee applies for all annual/season memberships.

 

How did we validate the model?

 

We reviewed the model and outputs in detail, noting the below:

 

Table 1 showed bets placed, the round, the team backed, the closing line, the projected line for that team in that particular game, odds (for my own recording purposes I use 1.87, when 1.90+ is easily obtainable with retail bookmakers in Australia). This clearly demonstrated that the model has beaten the closing line (not just the opening line when there is more value the earlier that you bet). For transparency and to prove it’s edge, we used the closing line to show that the model is beating this comfortably, not just the opening line. We noted the model doesn’t bet before round 4. It uses the early rounds for data validation, as the use of pre-season trial games for teams is statistically insignificant. Hence tips will start in Round 4. 

Table 2 outlined the season summary for the model which demonstrated its nearly 60% strike rate for the 2019 NRL season. In the past three years, this model has averaged this 60% strike rate, which to me has demonstrated the inefficiency of the market and the effectiveness of the model. We can demonstrate my edge with mathematics: (60+41)!/(60!*41!*2^60+41) ~ 1.336% chance that the model is just flipping a coin (50% win probability) and getting lucky with the 60 wins, assuming that it should be 50% chance of winning with the line bet. Hence it is a 98.664% that the model has a true edge.

Table 3 outlines the theoretical edge on the season, simply through maths (strike rate - odds^-1). We noted the POT (profit on turnover) was higher than the edge calculation for the season, which demonstrates that the staking methodology was beneficial in making the most of the edge.

Table 4 outlined the teams that were bet on and how many times they were successful. The model favours betting teams that are considered of poorer quality to the market. The model finds very little value in betting the better teams (roosters and storm) of the past decade, as these teams are highly backed and the model itself rates those teams quite highly. In the 2019 season, the Raiders, Tigers, Sea Eagles and Knights were quite successful to follow and they outperformed market expectations overall. 

Table 5 demonstrated the number of games the model bet on. The model was able to find value in half of the games of the season. The cutoff for the model to place a bet is a two point difference from the market. This is applied to minimise variance in the season. 

Table 6 outlines the performance of each team over the course of the season against the line. Given each team plays 24 games plus finals, it is quite difficult to work in this market, as for one team to win, another must lose. As previously mentioned, the Raiders, Tigers, Sea Eagles and Knights were teams that were most successful for the model. General consensus is that each team should approximate a 50% cover rate for the line across the season, with the teams that have a higher cover % indicating that they outperformed the market expectation for them over the season. 

Table 7 demonstrated the end of season rating for each team against an average team (the Knights epitomised the closest thing to an ‘average’ team). The Storm were rated as strong as the Titans were poor. 

Starting from

$ 150.00

Monthly
  • Big priced winners

  • Proven long term profitability

  • Profit Guarantee

GOLF

Our Golf analyst John has been a professional golfer since 1971 (48 years).

He played in two British Opens, won five professional events including two national championships, was a commentator on all professional events in New Zealand for twenty years, and commentated on the four majors, plus the Espirito Santo, the Eisenhower and the Australian Open. He was also a director of the Australasian PGA tour for eight years.

Best of all he now spends much of his time these days analysing and betting on golf.

He demonstrated his ability to find massive priced winners when tipping Brian Stuard on April 28 publicly to everyone on our blog, twitter and facebook to win the Zurich Classic at an incredible 1000/1!

Below are some of the big priced winners & placegetters John has advised to members:

1st

$1000: Brian Stuard – Zurich Classic (Apr 2016) 

$340: Sam Brazel – Hong Kong Open (Dec 2016)

$300: Keith Mitchell - Honda Classic (Feb 2019)

$110: Xander Schauffele - Tour Championship (Sep 2017)

$65: Tyrell Hatton - Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (Oct 2016)

$29 Ricky Fowler - Hero World Challenge (Dec 2017)

$27: Sang Hyun Park - HSBC Women's World Championship (Feb 2018)

$24: Kevin Kisner - Presidents Cup (Sep 2017) 

2nd

$880: Jon Curran – The Memorial Tournament (Jun 2016 - Beaten in a playoff, traded as low as $1.78 on Betfair)

$820: Scott Brown - Genesis Open (Feb 2017)

$670: Cheng Tsung Pan - Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2017)

$450: Scott Piercy – US Open (Jun 2016)

$400: Brian Hartman - US Open (Jun 2017) $320 Callum Shankwin - Scottish Open (Jul 2017) (Successfully advised to lay at $2)

$320: Callum Shankwin - Scottish Open (Oct 2017) (Successfully advised to lay at $3, got down to $1.06 in betting)

$130: Steve Stricker – St Jude Classic (Jun 2016)

$100: Eduardo Molinari - European Tour Qualifying (Nov 2016)

3rd

$700: Sebastian Munoz - Greenbrier Classic (Jul 2017) (Successfully advised to lay at $2)

$650: Robert Karlsson - British Masters (Sep 2017) (Led into last round)

$620: John Huh - Career Builder Challenge (Jan 2018)

$580: Oliver Wilson - South African Open (Dec 2018)

$480: Kraft-Tway - Zurich Classic (Apr 2017) $410: Roberto Castro - BMW Championship (Sep 2016 - Successfully advised to lay at $5)

4th

$1000: Broaden Thorbury - St Jude Classic (Jun 2017)

$500: Andrew Dodt - Scottish Open (Jul 2017) (Successfully advised to lay at $2)

$300: JJ Spaun - Phoenix Open (Feb 2017)

$240: Sebastian Gros - Tshwane Open (Mar 2018)

$180: Soren Kjeldsen - DP World Championships (Nov 2016)

$160: Ashley Hall - Aus PGA (Nov 2016)

5th

$940: Fabian Gomez - Deutsche Bank Championship (Sep 2016)

$800: Steve Wheatcroft - Canadian Open (Jul 2016 - traded at $1.39 on Betfair in play)

$290: Bill Haas - US Open (Jun 2017)

$180: Danny Lee - Byron Nelson Invitational (May 2017)

With Jon Curran beaten in a playoff at $880 (traded at $1.78 on Betfair, Steve Wheatcroft at $800 (traded at $1.39 on Betfair), Sebastian Munoz at $700 (successfully advised to lay at $2),  Andrew Dodt at $500 in the Scottish Open (successfully advised to lay at $2), and Callum Shankwin at $320 (traded at $1.06 on Betfair), basic Betfair traders even have the option to lock in an annual profit even if the service didn't back a long priced winner.

The fact that John has actually tipped so many big priced winners demonstrates that this Golf Tips service is not only very profitable but a lot of fun! The service has made over 62 units profit at 18.5% POT! This is a service with huge returns from a small outlay, and the accuracy and success on players at huge odds has been impressive to say the least. For simplicity all bets are recorded at the Betfair price at the time of the e-mail, but often the Corporates are offering even better prices.

This service comes with our Profit Guarantee for all quarterly or annual memberships. (We are so confident in our package that if you don't profit over the period of your subscription for any quarterly or annual package, we will double the period of your package for FREE! For example take a quarterly package, and if it doesn't make a profit through our official results, you will get an additional quarterly package for FREE! Given members subscribe at different times, simply advise us within 72 hours of being billed of this losing period to be eligible for the refund)

Starting from

$ 147.00

Monthly
  • Profit Guarantee

  • Head to Head betting (and some Multis)

  • Excellent 19/20 Season Results

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE (Soccer/Football)

Q&A below with our English Premier League analyst.

Tell us a bit about yourself and your background.

I have been betting full time professionally for over a decade. Soccer, as it was when I was a kid nearly 40 years ago, was my number one sport and English Premier football is the league I’ve predominantly followed.

How did you turn into a successful long-term punter?

Many hours of education in a professional environment, plus taking advantage learning from the knowledge of other very successful punters.

How did you get into EPL? Have you always been a successful punter on football? If not, how did you turn into a successful long-term punter on football?

My mother is from Liverpool, England, so when we were holidaying there as a child my bond with Liverpool and English football was formed. I wasn’t always successful as I didn’t understand how to identify value or have the strategies to take advantage of it. I developed my own strategies targeting consistency. I combine this with a disciplined approach, so I don’t bet on every game or even every round.

How do you identify your bets? What are the key areas or statistics you analyse? Where do you find the biggest edges? 

I treat my analysis by trying to identify information that isn’t available publically. Information that can’t be used in statistical models. Sometimes the result of a match isn’t a true reflection of what happened. In other words, I conduct video analysis and focus seeking the actual level of performance. I have many other edges that consistently produce great profits but obviously they are not something that I am prepared to talk about or reveal.

Why do you believe you do so well on EPL?

By not following the crowd and by keeping it simple. By combining a part conservative, with a part aggressive approach that keeps bankroll fluctuations in check but stakes to maximise value.

Another important thing is identifying danger situations and knowing when not to bet. I have friends who will take many different ‘novelty’ options in a multi in the hopes of a big payout. Bookies often promote them when those multis come in, but the true odds are ridiculously small and not true value.

What else do you look at when assessing matches and determining bets? 

The selections are sent well before final teams are announced, so it’s also understanding the managers’ mindset in relation to team selection, tactics and what matches they have on the horizon.

How will your service work? What types of bets will you send, how many bets per week, unit bank recommended, estimate of weekly units spent? 

‘Win’ bets. If there are two selections (i.e. win/draw) we record assuming win bets on the two selections in those cases, but alternately advanced members could lay on Betfair if they wish. In a round there can be zero bets, or six leg multis, although both are uncommon. Unit size is usually in the region of 0.5 to 3 units. An over 10 unit spend for a round would be reasonably rare. On average we have invested 5u per round so far this season.

Will you send future and long term bets?

Not too often on the EPL, but World Cup and Euro Championships may provide a few bets.

What time will bets normally be released? 

Bets will normally be released at least 24hrs before the first betting match of the round. Usually Friday evening 7-8pm for a typical round, unless the games schedule dictates otherwise. Advanced notice will be provided for the release time of each bet to ensure members can be ready to place the bets.

What information do you provide with each bet? 

Selection, stake and available odds.

What are your previous results? What is a realistic Profit on Turnover percentage?  

So far this season we have made 41u profit at 29% POT. This season we missed a couple of multis due to Man City faltering, however past results are not an indicator of the future and there may be some regression to the mean as odds setters have caught up on certain teams this season. We can’t predict a change of managers/injuries, and the odds ahead of time, but when you have a simple methodology I expect profits will continue at similar levels to the past.

*Note Winning Edge Investments would like to point out that unlike our other services, the results stated for the season up to 26 Feb are based on tips sent to Winning Edge Investments' team and results collated by an Independent Contractor, not publicly verifiable results to paying members

Which bookmaker accounts are the best to use? What odds comparison sites are the best to use?

Last season Unibet didn’t seem too worried about Betfair, and had their own prices, but this season they seem to be much closer to them, but these anomalies can occur. However they are usually the best bookie so multis are most likely to be with them. Alternatively TAB or Topsport might be asleep and have the best odds on a selection. Betfair will often be best odds especially on the longer priced selections.

How will the odds be recorded?

Based on the 2nd best price available with Australian corporate bookmakers.

Do I bet straight away, or wait until close to the game start? 

Price fluctuations may be difficult to predict. Final team selections will have an influence, some may firm, and longshots in particular may drift. However, when selections are released I believe the individual selections are value and a good chance of firming, and odds will be recorded on the price when the bet is sent.

Will I be able to get a decent bet on? 

Betfair is often best price with substantial liquidity particularly closer to match time, so getting on is not an issue.

Are bets based on a 100 unit betting bank?

Yes.

Any profit guarantee?

Yes on all quarterly and annual memberships.

Starting from

$ 197.00

Half Yearly
  • Profit Guarantee

  • Fair Odds Recording

  • Outstanding Long Term Profits

A-LEAGUE ACE

Our A-League tips that have generated $11,208 profit to date. The service averages approximately 6 selective and highly profitable bets per round that you can back with confidence. A heavily discounted price is currently available for the remainder of the season.