Membership Options

Starting from

$ 0.00

Quarterly

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Starting from

$ 267.00

Monthly
  • Australia's most profitable horse racing service in history

  • Profit Guarantee

  • Fair odds recording

  • Big priced winners

  • Bets sent after 9am

  • Outstanding long term profits

TRIAL SPY

Trial Spy has amassed over $70,000 profit since inception, making it the most profitable horse racing tipping package ever in Australia. It has produced figures unheard of over such a long period of time.

Testament to its longevity & success, the Trial Spy service commands such a high membership renewal rate that new memberships are only offered intermittently.

The service has generated over 160u ($16,000) profit over the past 14 months.

The Trial Spy service covers racing every day and across every track in Australia. Bets are wherever and whenever there’s value to be found from identified runners. But it's certainly not a scattergun approach - we don’t bet for the sake of it. Bets are selective, and only advised if and when there’s value available on the day. Tips include the selection, recommended stake (based on a 100u betting bank), and a comment on why the selection has been chosen for an investment. 

The package is a thoroughly comprehensive “everything done for you” tipping package. All you need to do is place the bets, enjoy the races, and reap the rewards.

Obviously, something so profitable can shape the market. To protect prices and hence member dividends, we strictly cap membership numbers. This ensures all Trial Spy members have a good chance to get set at the prices advised.

Q&A with Dean: https://www.winningedgeinvestments.com/posts/trial-spy-qanda/

Member Survey & Testimonials: https://www.winningedgeinvestments.com/posts/trial-spy-testimonials/

Starting from

$ 287.00

Monthly
  • Outstanding long-term profits

  • Big priced winners

  • Bets sent after 9am

  • Fair odds recording

  • Profit Guarantee

DEAN'S TIPS

Dean's Tips members receive the following:

  • Proven, high quality tips you can back with confidence from professional form analyst Dean Evans
  • Dean devises his selections through analysis of a private database, using a combination of advanced form, speed, class, weight, rating, video and sectional analysis. He also uses advanced statistical data and knowledge, combined with his unique 'isolation' concept to provide highly profitable tips to members
  • Selections, including staking and betting advice are sent to you via e-mail and by accessing your exclusive members area
  • Outstanding customer support - expect a quick and comprehensive response to any queries
  • This service comes with our Profit Guarantee for all quarterly or annual memberships. (We are so confident in our package that if you don't profit over the period of your subscription for any quarterly or annual package, we will double the period of your package for FREE! For example take a quarterly package, and if it doesn't make a profit through our official results, you will get an additional quarterly package for FREE! Given members subscribe at different times, simply advise us within 72 hours of being billed of this losing period to be eligible for the refund)
  • Using a fair, consistent, transparent and member-voted odds recording methodology: the highest of the 3rd best fixed price available at the time the bet is sent, chosen from only a small selected number of bookies who actually take a bet, or mid tote.
  • Outstanding long-term profits. Dean's Tips have a significant edge over the marketplace, and the service generated over 600 units profit at 8.1% POT over the past 5 years (a total of $60,000+ profit at $100 a unit). Big priced winners have included:
  • Carn $149
  • Stage Girl $126
  • Emmadee $101 ($560 Betfair)
  • Mighty Boss $101
  • Kaiser Franz $71, Calvo $57, Aliferous $57, Shazee Lee $56, Harlem $53, Sacred Falls $51, Sea Lord $51, Mourinho $43, Tully Ho $42, Centre Divider $42, Forseen $41, Cameo $41, Gala Affair $41, Gold Fields $41, Havana Cigar $41, Runaway $41, Thermal Current $41, Harlem $41, Just Two Vees $40 and plenty more.
Starting from

$ 267.00

Monthly
  • 5 years of highly profitable results

  • Profit Guarantee

  • Fair Odds Recording Policy

  • Highly respected and revered form analyst

  • Renowned Bloodstock Judge (purchased multiple G1 winners including Mel Cup winner Protectionist)

  • Taught by the best: Rob Waterhouse

LUKE MURRELL'S TIPS

Since inception, Luke’s service has generated more than $50,000 in profit, forging a deserved reputation as one of racing's most highly respected form analysts. Luke learned his craft under the tutelage of one of the industry’s most respected racing identity, former bookmaker Rob Waterhouse for many years. He is also a much-lauded judge of horseflesh, having selected and bought multiple Group 1 winners for himself and his Australian Bloodstock clients, including Melbourne Cup winner Protectionist, and recent G1 winners Brave Smash, Tosen Stardom and Master Of Design.

Starting from

$ 287.00

Monthly
  • Big Priced Winners

  • Fair Odds Recording

  • Profit Guarantee

  • Outstanding profitability

JOHN'S ANALYTICS

This money making machine has made over 280 units profit ($28,000) at over 12% POT in just 20 months.

Bets are produced from modelling of John's database by a PhD Data Scientist with results based on the third best fixed price of just six bookies,

The database finds horses significantly mispriced by the market to derive profits. John advises members to simply place bets at the best possible price when bets are sent. As the vast majority of winners firm in the market, this truly is a simple to follow bet and forget service.

Big winners found include:

Long Knife $67

Strolling Vagabond $51

Flirtalicious $34

Crossbearer $31

Stella Anne $31

Starbound $31

Our Lucky Lucy $27

Preferred Route $24

Dutch Gal $24

 

As a member of JOHN'S ANALYTICS you receive the following:

  • Quality tips you can back with confidence from a full-time professional punter John Lawson
  • John self-built database has been refined and fine-tuned over a number of years and rates every horse based on a complex myriad of variables
  • Selections including the recommended staking are sent to you by e-mail and through accessing your exclusive members area
  • Outstanding customer support - we're always happy to help, anytime!
  • We are so confident in our package it comes with out Profit Guarantee for all quarterly or annual memberships (if you don't profit over the period of your subscription, we will double the period of your package for FREE! For example, if you have a quarterly package, and if it doesn't make a profit through our official results, you will get an additional quarterly package for FREE! Given members subscribe at different times, simply advise us within 72 hours of being billed of this losing period to be eligible for the refund)
  • Using a consistent, transparent and member voted Fair Odds Recording Methodology: every bet is simply recorded at the 3rd best fixed price available at the time the bet is sent, chosen from only a small selected number of bookies who actually take a bet).
Starting from

$ 267.00

Monthly
  • Bets sent shortly after 9am

  • Proven and consistent long-term profits

  • Place the same bets as a full time professional NSW punter

  • Full ratings spreadsheet (plus comments)

  • Fair Odds Recording

  • Profit Guarantee

NSW TIPS & RATINGS

Mark Rhoden is a highly respected full time professional punter who focuses solely on NSW Metropolitan and Provincial racing.

  • Double the value: A true set and forget service with tips usually sent at 9am each NSW Metro or Provincial raceday to place as advised. Plus at no additional cost Mark's spreadsheet with full ratings for every runner plus comments to aid those betting throughout the day.
  • All bets are on NSW racing which means Minimum Bet Legislation applies. So those with banned or restricted accounts with bookmakers can still get set to win decent amounts with all bookies!
  • We are so confident in this service it comes with our Profit Guarantee for all quarterly or annual memberships (if you don't profit over the period of your subscription for any quarterly or annual package, we will double the period of your package for FREE! For example if you have a quarterly package, and if it doesn't make a profit through our official results, you will get your next quarterly package for FREE! Given members subscribe at different times, simply advise us within 72 hours of being billed of this losing period to be eligible for the refund)
  • Using a fair, consistent, transparent and member voted Odds Recording Methodology, Mark either advises to bet Top Fluc, BOB, or Fixed Odds (which are recorded at the advised 3rd best fixed price available at the time the bet is sent, chosen from only a small selected number of bookies who actually take a bet). Results are recorded and published daily on the website based exactly on the advice given

 

Q&A with Mark Rhoden Q&A

 

Q: Hi Mark, pleasure to have you on board. Tell us a bit about yourself and your background. How did you get into racing and how did you turn into a successful long term punter?

A: My interest in racing has been a lifelong one.  My father was a successful punter who kept his own ratings database, and I started going to the races and developing an interest in form study as a young child.  In my 20s, I got a job as a form analyst and trader with Mark Read’s IAS, one of the early corporate bookmaking firms – that was where I really did my apprenticeship and learnt my trade from some outstanding mentors, which led to a 17-year form and trading career in the corporate world, firstly with IAS, then with Sportsbet.

How do you generate your ratings and identify your bets? Do you use a database? Where do you find the biggest edges? 

I maintain my own ratings database on NSW racing.  Time and weight are the cornerstones of the database, which in turn are the basis of my form analysis, pricing and betting.  Naturally, video analysis, speed maps, assessments of jockey and trainer ability and overall knowledge of the horses have significant roles to play, but it is the quality of the database in the first place that helps me to identify the best betting opportunities.

Why do you focus on Sydney racing?

I had been the head trader of NSW racing for IAS and then Sportsbet since 2006, so that’s become my area of expertise over the last decade or so.  I may be biased, but also believe it boasts the highest quality racing in Australia, despite the odd problem with field sizes etc.

What else do you look at when assessing form and determining bets? 

I like to bet in races in which I’m confident of my assessments, and it appears that one or two runners have a clear edge on their rivals.  If I can find a race like that, and in that race my pricing is also a bit different from the market, then that’s the very best opportunity to bet in my view.  I generally prefer to restrict my betting to those horses near the top of my markets, but of course I will look further afield if the value is too good to ignore.

What do you think the racing industry needs to do to stay relevant and to increase the attraction of the sport to a new generation?

If I knew the answer to that, I could probably name my own salary as a racing administrator! I think the industry should take its cue from other sports though.  There is so much interest in stats, analytics and fantasy games among young fans of more mainstream sports, surely there is an opportunity to migrate that interest to racing, a sport that is tailor-made for that kind of follower.

How will your service work? What types of bets will you send, how many bets per week, unit bank recommended, estimate of weekly units spent? 

100 unit bank.

I’ll provide a full pricing service for each NSW metro meeting with a comment/overview of each race (main chances, expected tempo/pattern) and suggested bets for the meeting. I would expect to recommend bets in about 50-75% of races assessed – in most cases, either one or two bets would be recommended in those betting races. I would aim to be turning over about 10-15% of the bank per meeting, which would result in turning over the starting bank 10-12 times in a year. 

What time will bets normally be released? 

As early as possible on race morning, from 9am but no later than 10.30am 

What information do you provide with each bet? 

 Assessed price, unit size and a recommendation regarding price to take (early price, Top Fluc, BOB, BTSP or similar), as well as my ratings spreadsheet with race and meeting comments and overviews.

What are your previous results? What is a realistic Profit on Turnover percentage?  

A previous service I was providing was able to return ~20% POT, but my years of experience on both sides of the punting/bookmaking fence have taught me that anyone who can make 10% or more, long term, is doing very well, and I achieve above that consistently.

Which bookmaker accounts are the best to use? 

Bet365 is the obvious choice for Fixed prices given the SP guarantee, and with Minimum Bet Limits at least everyone can get set for something with them on NSW Racing. TAB, Ubet and Top Sport are best for early betting for me as they take bigger bets, although with Minimum Bet Limits (and automated pricing) means there’s little between most corporates these days in terms of prices.  Betfair, of course, is advised for those betting late once the liquidity is there.

Which odds comparison sites do you recommend? 

Dynamic Odds. 

Do I bet straight away, or wait until close to the race starts? 

A recommendation will be made on a case-by-case basis for each bet.

Any profit guarantee? 

If the quarterly or annual subscription is not showing a profit during the period, your next subscription period is free.  

Will I be able to get a decent bet on? 

Yes absolutely, with minimum bet laws applicable in NSW that means everyone can bet with every bookie they have an account with, even if previously restricted or banned. The tips are for NSW Metro & provincial racing with high liquidity and bet limits. 

How will official results be recorded? 

Top Fluc, BOB, Best Tote/SP or the 3rd best fixed price of selected bookies, as per pre-race advice.

Starting from

$ 267.00

Monthly
  • Profit Guarantee

  • Outstanding Profits

  • Place the same bets as a full-time professional punter on WA Racing

  • Full ratings sheet (plus comments)

  • Fair Odds Recording Policy

  • Taught by the best: Mark Read

  • Bets sent at standard time (1pm) every day

WA TIPS & RATINGS

We are enormously excited to have full-time professional punter Cameron O'Brien join the team providing his tips & full ratings for WA.

With his father responsible for the Victorian weight & class tables and ratings for Don Scott's classic betting bible 'The Winning Way', Cameron was bred to be a pro punter,

Successful punting runs in the family - made even more impressive with his relation to renowned form student and provider of our highly popular and successful NSW Tips & Ratings service, Mark Rhoden (their fathers are cousins). 

Cameron and Mark work closely together, sharing the same database, and betting on each other's ratings.

Not only does Cameron have a punting pedigree, he was also taught by some the best in the business.

Before going out on his own, he has worked for the likes of industry veterans Mark Read and Gerard Twomey (Iasbet).

As a result, his success story reaches to raise a family of five children, all from his punting profits – impressive!

Cameron can be described a “flat track bully”. He knows what works and has found his niche working the WA market with his ratings system. It’s a proven 'cash cow' and he knows the inner workings of the state like the back of his hand due to an isolated, steady and limited pool of horses, trainers, jockeys, and tracks that are virtually always dry.

It means Cameron has a distinct advantage. His accurate ratings can generate exceptional profits because he works on a stable environment with less variables and biases.

So that's exactly what Cameron does.

Listen to our interview with Cameron here, where he details his 12 year journey as a full- time professional punter: https://soundcloud.com/winningedgeinvestments/expert-qa-6-cameron-obrien

Starting from

$ 200.00

Monthly
  • Proven consistent long term profits

  • Detailed comments explaining why the horse is recommended for investment

  • Fair Odds Recording

  • Profit Guarantee

BLACKBOOK BETS

Headed by Lachlan Mosley, this service has produced over 265 units profit since Jan 2016.

Lachlan develops his edge through a combination of video analysis and professional assessment of sectional times.

Watching countless hours of videos and live races, Lachlan documents his findings in each race to highlight runners to follow.

Using well-honed form analysis skills he identifies when those horses should be backed next, and when they should be left alone.

Lachlan now focuses predominantly on South Australian racing, and has made 52 units profit at 72% POT over the past 8 weeks.

Through the judicious use of each way betting, Lachlan reduces the potential drawdown during any unlucky periods, whilst maximising returns during the winning periods.

We’re so confident in this package it comes with our Profit Guarantee for all quarterly or annual memberships. If you don't profit over the period of your subscription, we will double the period of your package for FREE! For example, if you have quarterly package and if it doesn't make a profit through our official results, you’ll get an additional quarterly package for FREE! Given members subscribe at different times, simply advise us within 72 hours of being billed of this losing period to be eligible for the refund.

Using a fair, consistent, transparent and member-voted Odds Recording Methodology, prices are recorded at the highest of the 3rd best fixed price available at the time the bet is sent (of only a small selected number of bookies who actually take a bet) or mid tote.

Starting from

$ 297.00

Monthly
  • Unbelievable profits

  • Incredible strike rate

  • Remarkable consistency

GREYHOUND GENIUS

Highly profitable Greyhound Tips that have produced over $89,000 profit in 4 years, at an incredible 13% POT & 890% ROI. You'll be advised what time the bets will be sent each afternoon, making this a simple bet & forget service - simply back the dog advised at the best fixed price you can obtain when the e-mail is sent. Closed to new members. Please contact us to be placed on the waiting list.

Starting from

$ 150.00

Monthly
  • Big priced winners

  • Proven long term profitability

  • Profit Guarantee

GOLF

Our Golf analyst John has been a professional golfer since 1971 (48 years).

He played in two British Opens, won five professional events including two national championships, was a commentator on all professional events in New Zealand for twenty years, and commentated on the four majors, plus the Espirito Santo, the Eisenhower and the Australian Open. He was also a director of the Australasian PGA tour for eight years.

Best of all he now spends much of his time these days analysing and betting on golf.

He demonstrated his ability to find massive priced winners when tipping Brian Stuard on April 28 publicly to everyone on our blog, twitter and facebook to win the Zurich Classic at an incredible 1000/1!

Below are some of the big priced winners & placegetters John has advised to members:

1st

$1000: Brian Stuard – Zurich Classic (Apr 2016) 

$340: Sam Brazel – Hong Kong Open (Dec 2016)

$300: Keith Mitchell - Honda Classic (Feb 2019)

$110: Xander Schauffele - Tour Championship (Sep 2017)

$65: Tyrell Hatton - Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (Oct 2016)

$29 Ricky Fowler - Hero World Challenge (Dec 2017)

$27: Sang Hyun Park - HSBC Women's World Championship (Feb 2018)

$24: Kevin Kisner - Presidents Cup (Sep 2017) 

2nd

$880: Jon Curran – The Memorial Tournament (Jun 2016 - Beaten in a playoff, traded as low as $1.78 on Betfair)

$820: Scott Brown - Genesis Open (Feb 2017)

$670: Cheng Tsung Pan - Farmers Insurance Open (Jan 2017)

$450: Scott Piercy – US Open (Jun 2016)

$400: Brian Hartman - US Open (Jun 2017) $320 Callum Shankwin - Scottish Open (Jul 2017) (Successfully advised to lay at $2)

$320: Callum Shankwin - Scottish Open (Oct 2017) (Successfully advised to lay at $3, got down to $1.06 in betting)

$130: Steve Stricker – St Jude Classic (Jun 2016)

$100: Eduardo Molinari - European Tour Qualifying (Nov 2016)

3rd

$700: Sebastian Munoz - Greenbrier Classic (Jul 2017) (Successfully advised to lay at $2)

$650: Robert Karlsson - British Masters (Sep 2017) (Led into last round)

$620: John Huh - Career Builder Challenge (Jan 2018)

$580: Oliver Wilson - South African Open (Dec 2018)

$480: Kraft-Tway - Zurich Classic (Apr 2017) $410: Roberto Castro - BMW Championship (Sep 2016 - Successfully advised to lay at $5)

4th

$1000: Broaden Thorbury - St Jude Classic (Jun 2017)

$500: Andrew Dodt - Scottish Open (Jul 2017) (Successfully advised to lay at $2)

$300: JJ Spaun - Phoenix Open (Feb 2017)

$240: Sebastian Gros - Tshwane Open (Mar 2018)

$180: Soren Kjeldsen - DP World Championships (Nov 2016)

$160: Ashley Hall - Aus PGA (Nov 2016)

5th

$940: Fabian Gomez - Deutsche Bank Championship (Sep 2016)

$800: Steve Wheatcroft - Canadian Open (Jul 2016 - traded at $1.39 on Betfair in play)

$290: Bill Haas - US Open (Jun 2017)

$180: Danny Lee - Byron Nelson Invitational (May 2017)

With Jon Curran beaten in a playoff at $880 (traded at $1.78 on Betfair, Steve Wheatcroft at $800 (traded at $1.39 on Betfair), Sebastian Munoz at $700 (successfully advised to lay at $2),  Andrew Dodt at $500 in the Scottish Open (successfully advised to lay at $2), and Callum Shankwin at $320 (traded at $1.06 on Betfair), basic Betfair traders even have the option to lock in an annual profit even if the service didn't back a long priced winner.

The fact that John has actually tipped so many big priced winners demonstrates that this Golf Tips service is not only very profitable but a lot of fun! The service has made over 62 units profit at 18.5% POT! This is a service with huge returns from a small outlay, and the accuracy and success on players at huge odds has been impressive to say the least. For simplicity all bets are recorded at the Betfair price at the time of the e-mail, but often the Corporates are offering even better prices.

This service comes with our Profit Guarantee for all quarterly or annual memberships. (We are so confident in our package that if you don't profit over the period of your subscription for any quarterly or annual package, we will double the period of your package for FREE! For example take a quarterly package, and if it doesn't make a profit through our official results, you will get an additional quarterly package for FREE! Given members subscribe at different times, simply advise us within 72 hours of being billed of this losing period to be eligible for the refund)

Starting from

$ 147.00

Monthly
  • Led AFL & NRL Trading, Data Analytics & Price Assessment at top bookmakers

  • Former big bookie head trader

  • Profit Guarantee

  • Amazing Value

  • Fair Odds Recording

AFL TIPS

Our AFL Expert has held senior positions as Head of Data Analytics, Price Assessment and Trading at some of the biggest and most respected bookmakers in Australia. Due to his seniority and standing we cannot reveal his name, but for the past five years he has achieved a double digit profit margin on investment, and we expect these results to continue into it a successful betting service.

 

Tell us a bit about yourself and your background.

Ever since my early childhood, I've loved playing and watching sport. Enter my early teens and my life was consumed by sport, playing, training or watching every day. I was a dead set sports junkie. In my later teens, I got the taste for punting and the idea of getting paid to watch sport seemed very attractive, so when the opportunity to work at a bookmaker presented, I jumped at it. That was 2 decades ago, and in that time I've held senior positions as Head of Data Analytics, Price Assessment and Trading at some of the biggest and most respected bookmakers in Australia. 

 

How did you get into AFL and how did you turn into a successful long-term punter?

In my early 20s I was approached by one of the senior sports traders and asked if I would be interested in learning how to price markets. I accepted his offer and so my journey of price assessor and punter began. He was a great teacher, not only of pricing but punting as well. I became obsessed with data and statistics and I quickly learned that with accurate pricing, a strong staking plan and discipline, punting can be extremely lucrative.  

 

How do you identify your bets? Where do you find the biggest edges? 

Each week I use key metrics to produce a set of prices and lines / margins for each game. I compare those prices to what the bookmakers offer, and identify the value to determine my bets. It's surprising how many people I know that say "That's a big price, I am going to have to halve my stake". I'm the opposite. If I see that something is a big price, I will double my bet. This aligns with the Kelly Criterion theorem of maximising your profits where you have the biggest edge.

 

Why do you believe you do so well on AFL?

No doubt the experience of having priced these markets for 20 years, combined with the vast connections I've accrued in the industry are my recipe for success.

 

What else do you look at when assessing matches and determining bets? 

Besides using my price assessment to find value in price variance, there are also several key market indicators to watch out for. I also believe the markets are at times slow to react to changed weather conditions. I have also built up a very strong network of associates, so I’m able to act quickly before the market adjusts and will be advising members in these instances so that they can secure great value ahead of the market.


How will your service work? What types of bets will you send, how many bets per week, unit bank recommended, estimate of weekly units spent? 

The majority of my bets will be H2H or the Line, but at times I will take aim at a total game points market. There will usually be a best bet for the week, but on average I would generally have between 2 and 5 bets per week and stake between 1-3 units per bet depending on our edge.

 

Will you send future and long term bets?

Yes. This year I'm very bullish about a couple of top 8 bets in particular.

 

What time will bets normally be released? 

The majority will be soon after all the major Australian bookmakers have released their prices.

 

What information do you provide with each bet? 

With each bet I will provide my rated price/margin/line, the best & second price available with Australian bookmakers (second best price of Australian bookmakers will be recorded for official results), and recommended unit investment

 

What are your previous results? What is a realistic Profit on Turnover percentage?  

Punting is not a get rich quick scheme but rather an investment that requires discipline and consistency. Every year for the past 5 years I have achieved a double digit profit margin on my investment; i.e. a minimum of 10% POT. 

 

Which bookmaker accounts are the best to use? 

Hahaha.....anywhere that lets you have a bet is a good account to use! I recommend having funded accounts at all bookmakers and shopping for the best value (as you also never know when they will cut you off).

 

Do I bet straight away, or wait until close to the game start? 

Bet as early as possible. You don't want to miss out on the price.  

 

Will I be able to get a decent bet on? 

This depends on how the bookmakers have your account flagged. Bookmakers will hold a lot on the markets we are betting into, so you should be able to get set to win a few thousand dollars at least.

 

Starting from

$ 197.00

Half Yearly
  • Profit Guarantee

  • Fair Odds Recording

  • Outstanding Long Term Profits

A-LEAGUE ACE

Our A-League tips that have generated $11,208 profit to date. The service averages approximately 6 selective and highly profitable bets per round that you can back with confidence. A heavily discounted price is currently available for the remainder of the season.

Starting from

$ 147.00

Monthly
  • Former big bookie head trader

  • Led NRL & AFL Trading, Data Analytics & Price Assesment at top bookmakers

  • Profit Guarantee

  • Amazing Value

  • Fair Odds Recording

NRL TIPS

Our NRL Expert comes has held senior positions as Head of Data Analytics, Price Assessment and Trading at some of the biggest and most respected bookmakers in Australia. Due to his seniority and standing we cannot reveal his name, but for the past five years, he has achieved double digit profit margin on investment

 

Tell us a bit about yourself and your background.

Ever since my early childhood, I've loved playing and watching sport. Enter my early teens and my life was consumed by sport, playing, training or watching every day. I was a dead set sports junkie. In my later teens, I got the taste for punting and the idea of getting paid to watch sport seemed very attractive, so when the opportunity to work at a bookmaker presented, I jumped at it. That was two decades ago, and in that time I've held senior positions as Head of Data Analytics, Price Assessment and Trading at some of the biggest and most respected bookmakers in Australia. 

 

How did you get into NRL and how did you turn into a successful long-term punter?

In my early 20s I was approached by one of the senior sports traders and asked if I would be interested in learning how to price markets. I accepted his offer and so my journey of price assessor and punter began. He was a great teacher, not only of pricing but punting as well. I became obsessed with data and statistics and I quickly learned that with accurate pricing, a strong staking plan and discipline, punting can be extremely lucrative.  

 

How do you identify your bets? Where do you find the biggest edges? 

Each week I use key metrics to produce a set of prices and lines / margins for each game. I compare those prices to what the bookmakers offer, and identify the value to determine my bets. It's surprising how many people I know that say "That's a big price, I am going to have to halve my stake". I'm the opposite. If I see that something is a big price, I will double my bet. This aligns with the Kelly Criterion theorem of maximising your profits where you have the biggest edge.

 

Why do you believe you do so well on NRL?

No doubt the experience of having priced these markets for 20 years, combined with the vast connections I've accrued in the industry are my recipe for success.

 

What else do you look at when assessing matches and determining bets? 

Besides using my price assessment to find value in price variance, there are also several key market indicators to watch out for. I also believe the markets are at times slow to react to changed weather conditions. I have also built up a very strong network of associates, and I’m able to act quickly before the market adjusts and will be advising members in these instances so that they can secure great value ahead of the market.


How will your service work? What types of bets will you send, how many bets per week, unit bank recommended, estimate of weekly units spent? 

The majority of my bets will be H2H or the Line, but at times I will take aim at a total game points market. There will usually be a best bet for the week, but on average I would generally have between 2 and 5 bets per week and stake between 1-3 units per bet depending on our edge.

 

Will you send future and long term bets?

Yes. This year I'm very bullish about a couple of top 8 bets in particular.

 

What time will bets normally be released? 

The majority will be soon after all of the major Australian bookmakers release their prices.

 

What information do you provide with each bet? 

With each bet I will provide my rated price/line/margin, the best & second price available with Australian bookmakers (second best of Australian bookmakers will be recorded for official results), and recommended unit investment

 

What are your previous results? What is a realistic Profit on Turnover percentage?  

Punting is not a get rich quick scheme but rather an investment that requires discipline and consistency. Every year for the past 5 years I have achieved a double digit profit margin on my investment; i.e. a minimum of 10% POT. 

 

Which bookmaker accounts are the best to use? 

Hahaha.....anywhere that lets you have a bet is a good account to use! I recommend having funded accounts at all bookmakers and shopping for the best value (as you also never know when they will cut you off).

 

Do I bet straight away, or wait until close to the game start? 

Bet as early as possible. You don't want to miss out on the price.  

 

Will I be able to get a decent bet on? 

This depends on how the bookmakers have your account flagged. Bookmakers will hold a lot on the markets we are betting into, so you should be able to get set to win a few thousand dollars at least.