Spring, Easter and warmer weather in the US signifies Masters week at Augusta.
Past experience shows that certain players thrive at Augusta.
Firstly to win you need to be great lag putter and particularly good from 10 feet as many second putts can be from this range due to the excess speed and slopes of the green.
Being a good Iron player is of great assistance as leaving the shots to the green under the hole maximises the chance of making birdies.
Generally driving the ball long and right to left gives the best chance of reaching par fives in two and this seems to suit left handers. Phil Mickelson and Bubba Watson’s wins exemplified this.
So who fits the bill?
In no particular order the players who meet most if not all of these conditions include, Phil Mickelson, Tiger Woods, Paul Casey, Charley Hoffman, Bubba Watson, Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas.
Clearly this is understood by the market. The only player in the market which does not fit all these criteria is Dustin Johnson ($12.50). I also think Spieth's form is so poor that at $27 he is way unders. So how do we find value?
Some of the players John has identified as value include:
- Adam Scott ($50) - Putting has improved to 27th on tour since switching to a DFP
- Phil Mickelson ($70) - Has the best overall record in the last 40 years except Jack Nicklaus. 0.5 units
- Fred Couples (top ten) $41 0.2 units - Fred's record is in the top ten of all time Strokes gained records at Augusta and amazingly despite his age 53 his record has not diminished in the last twenty years.
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